Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.197308 0.229455 0.265244 0.308057 0.357904 0.414145 0.482466
2025-03-02 0.141057 0.181914 0.232336 0.299210 0.385719 0.494052 0.640359
2025-03-09 0.117434 0.162641 0.222540 0.307871 0.426622 0.586523 0.819051
2025-03-16 0.099213 0.145586 0.210679 0.308963 0.454138 0.661551 0.982011
2025-03-23 0.087064 0.134304 0.204004 0.314686 0.486845 0.745806 1.167587
2025-03-30 0.074854 0.120701 0.191408 0.308833 0.500087 0.801280 1.315525
2025-04-06 0.065716 0.110332 0.181974 0.305923 0.516478 0.862296 1.478815
2025-04-13 0.058921 0.102691 0.175648 0.306758 0.538351 0.933869 1.667951
2025-04-20 0.055393 0.100005 0.177034 0.320518 0.583512 1.049570 1.948232
2025-04-27 0.051860 0.096778 0.176950 0.331417 0.624575 1.162524 2.237891
2025-05-04 0.048492 0.093373 0.176030 0.340466 0.663025 1.274846 2.540539
2025-05-11 0.044689 0.088640 0.172020 0.343005 0.689084 1.366475 2.814237
2025-05-18 0.040599 0.082935 0.165659 0.340503 0.705618 1.443026 3.071209
2025-05-25 0.036185 0.076049 0.156191 0.330592 0.705941 1.487352 3.267952
2025-06-01 0.034232 0.073978 0.156152 0.340177 0.748182 1.623324 3.680488
2025-06-08 0.031708 0.070368 0.152455 0.341386 0.772314 1.723375 4.026483
2025-06-15 0.029879 0.068040 0.151188 0.347719 0.808506 1.854082 4.460484
2025-06-22 0.027233 0.063550 0.144649 0.341242 0.814423 1.916872 4.741983
2025-06-29 0.025102 0.059990 0.139779 0.338021 0.827531 1.997809 5.078731
2025-07-06 0.023460 0.057384 0.136805 0.338945 0.850732 2.105568 5.497658
2025-07-13 0.022852 0.057208 0.139536 0.354174 0.911361 2.312434 6.201395
2025-07-20 0.022075 0.056519 0.140941 0.366236 0.965458 2.509634 6.907552
2025-07-27 0.021226 0.055545 0.141526 0.376252 1.015490 2.702623 7.629851